As employees affected by the longest-ever shutdownof the US government returned to work Monday, budget analysts projected that the five-week break in federal spending will result in a permanent loss of an estimated 3 billion dollars.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the shutdown negatively affected economic growth in the first quarter of 2019 by about 0.2 percent or 8 billion dollars.
The shutdown also affected quarterly real gross domestic product in the fourth quarter of 2018. That quarter’s growth will be reduced by 3 billion dollars, or 0.1 percent, the agency estimates.
Most of the real GDP lost during the two quarters will eventually be recovered, the report forecasts.
The amount that won’t be recovered—an estimated 3 billion dollars—equals 0.02 percent of projected annual GDP in 2019, the Congressional Budget Office added.
The CBO is an independent agency that produces analyses of budgetary and economic issues for Congress.
The government entered into a partial shutdown in December over a stand-off between US President Donald Trump and his opponents in the Democratic Party, who refused to pass legislation giving the president 5.7 billion dollars to construct sections of a wall on the border with Mexico.
It ended Friday with Trump agreeing to legislation to fund the government until Feb. 15 – despite not securing any real gains.
He has said that he would be willing to let the government shut down again over the border issue if negotiations between now and Feb. 15 don’t result in a solution satisfying his demands.
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